BIKERELIABILITY Reg check
League table/ HARLEY-DAVIDSON/XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18
Model report · 2005–2025

Data as of: DVSA MOT results to 2025

HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18

1202cc Petrol Class 2
87.3%
first-time pass rate
5.1%
failed outright
4,156
median miles at test
1,177
MOT tests, 2005–2025
-2.2pp
vs expected · age & mileage

The pass rate is the MOT first-time pass: a roadworthiness check of the items an MOT covers (brakes, lights, tyres, steering, structure, emissions), not a full mechanical inspection of engine or gearbox internals. It is a reliability signal, not a complete measure of mechanical reliability. What this measures.

“vs expected” adjusts for age, mileage and test class, so a cherished classic and a hard-used commuter are compared fairly. How this works.

Pass rate over time

first-time pass rate by test year · 2021–2025

The XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18's first-time pass rate has risen 7.5 points since 2021, 82.6% to 90.1%.

81%86%92%2021: 82.6% pass (241 tests)2022: 87.6% pass (267 tests)2023: 88.6% pass (254 tests)2024: 87.5% pass (192 tests)2025: 90.1% pass (202 tests)20212025

What fails on a XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18

failure defects by component group · advisories excluded
Component group Share of defects Defects % of defects vs all bikes
lamps and reflectors
55 48.2 2.1×
Identification of the vehicle
29 25.4 10.7×
structure and attachments
14 12.3 1.6×
brakes
7 6.1 0.1×
tyres
4 3.5 0.5×
audible warning (Horn)
3 2.6 1.4×
steering
1 0.9 0.2×
suspension
1 0.9 0.1×

Defects recorded against failed normal tests, 2005–2025, grouped by DVSA inspection section. One test can record multiple defects. "vs all bikes" is how often this model's tests record a defect in the group, as a multiple of the all-bike rate.

How rivals compare

same type, similar capacity, high test volume

On first-time pass rate the XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18 beats 0 of its 4 closest rivals (TRIUMPH BONNEVILLE, TRIUMPH THUNDERBIRD, HARLEY-DAVIDSON XLH 883).

Rivals share this bike's type and sit within ±30% of its engine capacity, ≥ 5,000 tests. Card colour = better/worse first-time pass rate than the XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18.

Compare with any bike

rival not listed above? pick any model to see it head-to-head with the XL 1200 X Forty Eight 18

Pass rate by registration year

how each model-year cohort fares · registration year from first use date

Highest pass rate: 2019 (90.7%). Lowest: 2018 (86.9%). Every XL 1200 X Forty Eight 18 year compared →

86%89%92%2017: 88.6% pass (167 tests)2018: 86.9% pass (951 tests)2019: 90.7% pass (54 tests)201720182019

First-time pass rate by the year each bike was first registered (cohorts with ≥ 50 tests). Older cohorts are survivors: the worst examples have already left the road, which tends to lift the earliest years.

HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18 FAQ

answers computed from the data above · terms in the glossary

Is the HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18 reliable?

The HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18 is more reliable than average for its class: 87.3% of its 1,177 MOT tests (2005–2025) passed first time, against a class average of 84.9%. That ranks it #1818 of 5428 models.

What does a XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18 fail its MOT on most?

lamps and reflectors: 48% of all defects recorded against failed XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18 tests.

What is the best year of XL 1200 X FORTY EIGHT 18 to buy used?

By first-time pass rate, 2019-registered examples do best (90.7%) and 2018 worst (86.9%). Condition and history still trump the year.

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