BIKERELIABILITY Reg check
Model report · 2005–2025

HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL

883cc Petrol Class 2
Harley-Davidson XL
Photo: Michael Barera · CC BY-SA 4.0
87.9%
first-time pass rate
5.3%
failed outright
6,108
median miles at test
18.5k
MOT tests, 2005–2025
-0.1pp
vs expected · age & mileage

The pass rate is the MOT first-time pass: a roadworthiness check of the items an MOT covers (brakes, lights, tyres, steering, structure, emissions), not a full mechanical inspection of engine or gearbox internals. It is a reliability signal, not a complete measure of mechanical reliability. What this measures.

“vs expected” adjusts for age, mileage and test class, so a cherished classic and a hard-used commuter are compared fairly. How this works.

Pass rate over time

first-time pass rate by test year · 2006–2025

The XL's first-time pass rate has fallen 2.2 points since 2006, 89.7% to 87.5%.

80%88%96%2006: 89.7% pass (58 tests)2007: 92.9% pass (56 tests)2008: 93.4% pass (61 tests)2009: 83.6% pass (61 tests)2010: 85.9% pass (71 tests)2011: 91.5% pass (59 tests)2012: 87.8% pass (74 tests)2013: 89.2% pass (74 tests)2014: 84.8% pass (79 tests)2015: 85.4% pass (82 tests)2016: 82.3% pass (113 tests)2017: 86.2% pass (785 tests)2018: 87.1% pass (1,402 tests)2019: 86.5% pass (2,273 tests)2020: 89.4% pass (1,996 tests)2021: 88.8% pass (2,534 tests)2022: 88.5% pass (2,475 tests)2023: 88.4% pass (2,421 tests)2024: 87.6% pass (1,893 tests)2025: 87.5% pass (1,965 tests)20062025

Pass rate by mileage

how the XL's first-time pass rate falls with the odometer · class average 84.9%

A low-mileage XL passes first time 89.0% of the time; by 40k that's 82.3%.

81%86%90%0k: 89.0% pass (13,309 tests)10k: 85.5% pass (3,720 tests)20k: 85.6% pass (987 tests)30k: 83.6% pass (262 tests)40k: 82.3% pass (79 tests)0k20k40k

First-time pass rate by odometer reading at test, 10,000-mile bands for this model. Mileage is the strongest reliability signal. See the full curve.

What fails on a XL

failure defects by component group · advisories excluded
Component group Share of defects Defects % of defects vs all bikes
lamps and reflectors
727 40.2 1.7×
brakes
209 11.6 0.2×
Identification of the vehicle
207 11.4 4.7×
structure and attachments
205 11.3 1.4×
suspension
125 6.9 0.8×
lighting and signalling
112 6.2 0.1×
tyres
96 5.3 0.6×
steering
57 3.2 0.6×
reg plates and vin
49 2.7 0.3×
steering and suspension
22 1.2

Defects recorded against failed normal tests, 2005–2025, grouped by DVSA inspection section. One test can record multiple defects. "vs all bikes" is how often this model's tests record a defect in the group, as a multiple of the all-bike rate.

How rivals compare

same type, similar capacity, high test volume

On first-time pass rate the XL beats 2 of its 4 closest rivals (TRIUMPH BONNEVILLE, TRIUMPH THUNDERBIRD, HARLEY-DAVIDSON XLH 883).

Rivals share this bike's type and sit within ±30% of its engine capacity, ≥ 5,000 tests. Card colour = better/worse first-time pass rate than the XL.

Compare with any bike

rival not listed above? pick any model to see it head-to-head with the XL

Pass rate by registration year

how each model-year cohort fares · registration year from first use date

Best year to buy used: 2011 (93.5% pass). Weakest: 2005 (71.3%).

67%82%98%1990: 89.2% pass (74 tests)1991: 80.5% pass (128 tests)1993: 81.1% pass (90 tests)1994: 89.7% pass (116 tests)1995: 87.1% pass (70 tests)2003: 93.2% pass (74 tests)2004: 91.0% pass (89 tests)2005: 71.3% pass (80 tests)2006: 90.6% pass (128 tests)2007: 87.3% pass (102 tests)2008: 83.8% pass (111 tests)2009: 85.1% pass (114 tests)2010: 88.0% pass (83 tests)2011: 93.5% pass (168 tests)2012: 86.1% pass (267 tests)2013: 85.5% pass (393 tests)2014: 87.8% pass (4,000 tests)2015: 88.7% pass (6,303 tests)2016: 88.2% pass (5,368 tests)2017: 87.6% pass (169 tests)199020082017

First-time pass rate by the year each bike was first registered (cohorts with ≥ 50 tests). Older cohorts are survivors: the worst examples have already left the road, which tends to lift the earliest years.

HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL FAQ

answers computed from the data above · terms in the glossary

Is the HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL reliable?

The HARLEY-DAVIDSON XL is more reliable than average for its class: 87.9% of its 18,541 MOT tests (2005–2025) passed first time, against a class average of 84.9%. That ranks it #1639 of 5428 models.

What does a XL fail its MOT on most?

lamps and reflectors — 40% of all defects recorded against failed XL tests.

What is the best year of XL to buy used?

By first-time pass rate, 2011-registered examples do best (93.5%) and 2005 worst (71.3%). Condition and history still trump the year.

How many miles will a XL last?

The median XL shows 6,108 miles at test, and examples around 40k miles still pass 82.3% of the time — mileage alone rarely kills one.

Embed this bike

Free to embed on your site, blog or forum — a live Harley-Davidson XL reliability card that stays up to date and links back here. More on the free API page.