BIKERELIABILITY Reg check
Registration-year report · 2005–2025

Data as of: DVSA MOT results to 2025

Harley-Davidson XL 1200 X Forty Eight 17: MOT pass rate by registration year

Which XL 1200 X Forty Eight 17 years pass first time, and which fall short of the model's 89.0% average, from 2,349 DVSA tests.

2018
highest-passing year · 90.3%
2016
lowest-passing year · 86.3%
4.0pp
spread across 3 years

Pass rate by registration year

first-time pass rate · cohorts with 50 or more tests · registration year from first use date

Highest pass rate: 2018 (90.3% of 155 tests). Lowest: 2016 (86.3% of 315). Years more than two points below the model average: 2016.

86%88%91%2016: 86.3% pass (315 tests)2017: 89.4% pass (1,873 tests)2018: 90.3% pass (155 tests)201620172018
RegisteredTestsFirst-time passvs model (89.0%)
2016 315 86.3% -2.7 pp
2017 1,873 89.4% +0.4 pp
2018 155 90.3% +1.3 pp

Older cohorts are survivors: the worst examples have already left the road, which tends to lift the earliest years. A first-time MOT pass is a roadworthiness check, not a full mechanical inspection.

Pass rate over time

first-time pass rate by test year · 2019–2025
83%89%95%2019: 85.0% pass (40 tests)2020: 92.6% pass (459 tests)2021: 87.5% pass (424 tests)2022: 90.6% pass (416 tests)2023: 88.1% pass (402 tests)2024: 88.7% pass (302 tests)2025: 85.6% pass (305 tests)20192025

Questions

Which XL 1200 X Forty Eight 17 years have the lowest MOT pass rate?
2016 registered examples pass first time less often than the Harley-Davidson XL 1200 X Forty Eight 17 overall (89.0%); the 2016 cohort is lowest at 86.3% from 315 tests.
Which XL 1200 X Forty Eight 17 year has the highest MOT pass rate?
2018, at 90.3% of 155 first tests (2005–2025).
How much does the XL 1200 X Forty Eight 17 pass rate vary by year?
4.0 percentage points between the highest (2018, 90.3%) and lowest (2016, 86.3%) cohorts with at least 50 tests. Older cohorts are survivors: the worst examples have already left the road, which tends to lift the earliest years.

Full report: Harley-Davidson XL 1200 X Forty Eight 17 reliability, failures and mileage · ranked #1269 of 5428 models· other Harley-Davidson models: XLH 883, Flstf, Flstc, XL, XL1200C, XL883